š Daily Market Intelligence Report
Thursday, February 26, 2026
1:29 PM CST
š Top-Line Summary
The spot market has exploded with activity today, showcasing a massive volume surge to 246,230 available loads and a total market opportunity of $323.8M, driving the national average rate up to $2.30/mile. Flatbed freight continues to absolutely dominate the board with over 110,000 available loads as early spring construction and energy staging accelerates. For freight brokers, the most critical immediate catalyst is the newly announced 10% global tariff, which is already triggering massive import front-loading at major ports and straining outbound drayage and truckload capacity. Compounding these demand spikes is a structurally shrinking driver pool, exacerbated by the impending March 23 eDVIR final rule that threatens to sideline marginal equipment. With severe 70-75 mph crosswinds paralyzing transcontinental routes in Wyoming and freezing spray warnings disrupting the Great Lakes, brokers must navigate intense localized capacity vacuums and leverage real-time rate intelligence to capture widening arbitrage opportunities.

ā½ Diesel Price Analysis
AAA Historical Price Comparison
š¦ļø Weather & Seasonal Intelligence
Current Major Weather Events:
- Severe Winter Storm & Heavy Freezing Spray (Great Lakes Region (MI, WI)): Storm force winds up to 55 kt and waves up to 22 ft are creating catastrophic freezing spray conditions. This is forcing strict protect-from-freeze (PFF) requirements for reefer freight and delaying regional transit along northern corridors.
- Extreme High Winds (Southeast Wyoming (WY, Laramie and Snowy Range Foothills)): West winds gusting 70 to 75 mph are creating severe blow-over risks for high-profile vehicles and empty trailers. This is effectively paralyzing transcontinental freight movement along the critical I-80 and I-25 corridors, forcing carriers to park or demand massive premiums to reroute.
- River Flooding (Northern California (CA, Butte and Glenn Counties)): Minor flooding along the Sacramento River is causing localized road closures, including Ord Ferry Road. This is creating minor routing delays for agricultural and regional freight moving through the Central Valley.
- Severe Blizzard Conditions (Eastern Alaska (AK, Richardson Highway)): Whiteout conditions and 45 mph gusts have closed sections of the Richardson Highway, completely halting regional freight movement and creating treacherous, life-threatening travel conditions.
āļø Weather Impact Cascade
- Immediate Operational Impact: The Wyoming wind event remains the most operationally disruptive weather factor today. Forecast data shows sustained west winds of 23-34 mph in Wyoming on Thursday, with conditions improving to 21-29 mph on Friday before easing to 15-23 mph by Saturday. The extreme 70-75 mph gusts cited in the active weather alert are expected to moderate, though elevated wind speeds will likely persist through at least Friday. Brokers should not assume I-80 corridor normalization before Saturday at the earliest, and should treat Thursday and Friday transcontinental flatbed capacity as severely constrained. In the Great Lakes, Wisconsin and Michigan are both facing continued overcast and cold conditions through Friday, with snow and snow shower potential arriving Saturday ā Wisconsin at 35% chance of approximately 0.1 inch of precipitation, Michigan at 25% chance of trace precipitation. PFF requirements for reefer freight through this region should remain in effect through at least the weekend.
- Secondary Market Effects: The Wyoming wind disruption is forcing transcontinental flatbed carriers to choose between parking, taking massive premium rates to attempt rerouting, or diverting southward through alternative corridors. This diversion is adding unexpected flatbed capacity to southern routes in the short term, but is also creating deadhead positioning costs that carriers will seek to recover on subsequent loads. Brokers sourcing flatbed freight in Texas, Oklahoma, or the Southern Plains over the next 48 to 72 hours may encounter slightly better-than-expected capacity availability from diverted western carriers ā though at rates reflecting their elevated deadhead exposure.
- Regional Spillover Analysis: The Great Lakes storm system that is generating freezing spray conditions will likely produce snow events in Wisconsin and Michigan by Saturday based on forecast data, potentially extending PFF requirements and adding road condition complexity to Midwest distribution networks. This could spill over into delayed transit times on Chicago-to-Detroit and Chicago-to-Milwaukee lanes through the weekend. California weather is relatively benign through Saturday before a possible light rain event Sunday with approximately 25% probability and minimal expected accumulation, suggesting minimal operational disruption to West Coast lanes. Alaska's Richardson Highway blizzard conditions are expected to persist in extremely cold temperatures ā forecast shows -10°F through Saturday ā though wind speeds appear to be moderating based on the 5-day outlook, suggesting gradual improvement in that corridor's accessibility.
- Recovery Timeline: Wyoming I-80 corridor: Based on forecast wind data, a partial operational recovery is plausible by Saturday, with more reliable movement likely by Sunday when winds are forecast at 8-12 mph. Brokers should plan for 48 to 72 hours of continued significant disruption before treating this corridor as fully operational. Great Lakes freezing spray and PFF conditions: Conditions are expected to remain active through the weekend given the forecast temperature profile, with Michigan showing cold temperatures through Sunday before warming toward 33°F on Monday. Full normalization of Great Lakes reefer operations may not occur until early next week. California minor flooding: The Sacramento River minor flooding situation appears localized and is not expected to escalate based on available forecast data showing only mild precipitation potential through the weekend.
š° Financial Market Indicators
- Diesel Futures: Fuel markets are experiencing volatility as regional refinery maintenance and geopolitical tensions keep baseline costs high, forcing carriers to strictly enforce fuel surcharges on longer lengths of haul.
- Carrier Financial Health: The impending March 23 eDVIR final rule is accelerating the exit of marginal carriers who cannot afford the maintenance costs required to keep aging equipment compliant, structurally shrinking the spot market capacity pool.
- Economic Indicators: The announcement of a new 10% global tariff is acting as a massive demand shock, prompting shippers to front-load imports and driving a sudden surge in port-to-warehouse freight volumes.
š° Impactful News Analysis
-
New 10% Global Tariffs Threaten to Upend Supply Chains š:
The newly announced 10% global tariff is triggering immediate import front-loading as shippers rush to beat the implementation window. Brokers should aggressively target drayage and outbound truckload freight from major ports (LA/LB, Savannah, NY/NJ), as this sudden volume spike will rapidly consume local capacity and drive up spot rates.
-
Impending eDVIR Final Rule to Squeeze Marginal Capacity š:
With the FMCSA's eDVIR final rule taking effect March 23, carriers will face stricter digital reporting of post-trip defects. Brokers must anticipate a drop in available capacity as carriers with aging or poorly maintained equipment are forced off the road. This structural tightening will give compliant carriers stronger pricing leverage in Q2.
-
FMCSA Grants Exemption for CLP Holders in Team Operations š:
The renewal of an exemption allowing Commercial Learner's Permit holders to operate without a CDL driver in the passenger seat provides slight relief to team driver capacity. Brokers moving expedited or high-value freight should note that while this helps specific training fleets, overall team capacity remains exceptionally tight nationwide.
-
FMCSA Reinstates Forward Thinking Systems ELD š:
The reinstatement of the Forward Thinking Systems BYOD ELD prevents a sudden loss of capacity from fleets utilizing this technology. Brokers should ensure their carrier vetting processes are updated to reflect this compliance change, avoiding unnecessary disqualification of otherwise legal and available carriers.
News Impact Timeline
- Immediate Operational Reality: The tariff front-loading impact is already live and measurable today. Port-adjacent capacity in Savannah is confirmed exhausted in the first-layer analysis. Brokers should treat the Southeast port market as operating in surge mode right now, not as a developing situation. The eDVIR regulatory pressure is building toward its March 23 implementation date but is already influencing carrier behavior ā marginal operators are making exit decisions now rather than waiting for the deadline.
- 3-Day Market Implications: Over the next 72 hours, the tariff-driven import wave will likely push further inland as port-adjacent warehouses clear. Expect secondary demand spikes to emerge on Charlotte-to-Northeast and Atlanta-to-Midwest corridors as distributed freight begins moving toward end destinations. The Wyoming wind corridor should begin reopening progressively, but the initial return of capacity to that market will likely be absorbed quickly by the backlog of loads that accumulated during the disruption. The CLP exemption renewal provides modest relief for expedited team freight but does not materially change the tight team capacity environment.
- Week-Ahead Positioning: By next week, the market is likely to be operating in a sustained high-demand environment driven by continued tariff front-loading and the early stages of produce season acceleration. The eDVIR March 23 deadline will be 25 days away, creating increasing urgency for marginal carriers ā broker carrier vetting processes should be updated now to identify and prioritize compliant carriers before the deadline creates sudden capacity gaps. The ELD reinstatement for Forward Thinking Systems removes one potential compliance disruption and should be reflected in updated carrier qualification records.
- Regulatory Compliance Impacts: The March 23 eDVIR deadline requires proactive broker action. Carrier qualification databases should be audited now to flag carriers using non-compliant maintenance reporting workflows. Building preferred carrier lists of fully compliant operators before the deadline provides a competitive advantage when marginal capacity exits the market. Additionally, the CLP team exemption renewal should be noted in expedited freight carrier profiles, as it may expand the available pool of team drivers for high-value or time-critical loads.
š Competitive Intelligence
- Digital Load Board Trends: Real-time data shows a massive $323.8M market opportunity, up significantly from last week. Paid rates are consistently trailing posted rates in the van sector, indicating brokers still have slight negotiation leverage, while flatbed paid rates are exceeding posted rates, signaling severe capacity shortages.
- Capacity Alerts: Capacity is critically tight in the Southeast due to produce preparations and port surges, and along the I-80 corridor in Wyoming due to extreme wind events forcing carriers to park.
- Technology Disruptions: The shift toward mandatory digital defect reporting (eDVIR) is creating a technological divide; carriers failing to adopt compliant digital maintenance workflows are facing increased audit risks and potential out-of-service orders, further restricting the usable capacity pool.
Demand Shift Indicators
- Regional Demand Predictions: The Southeast will likely see continued capacity absorption over the next 5 to 7 days as the tariff front-loading wave moves from port arrival through transloading and into distribution networks. The demand center may gradually shift northward from Savannah toward Charlotte and the broader Mid-Atlantic as freight clears port-adjacent warehouses and moves inland. Brokers should anticipate the next demand spike emerging on secondary outbound lanes from Charlotte, Richmond, and Atlanta as import freight disperses through the distribution network.
- Seasonal Transition Analysis: The current market is operating significantly ahead of typical late-February patterns. Normally, flatbed demand builds gradually through March as construction season ramps. This year, the combination of tariff-driven front-loading and early energy sector staging has compressed that ramp into the current week. The result is a market behaving more like mid-March or early April in terms of demand intensity, while carrier positioning and equipment availability still reflect late-February norms ā creating an unusual and exploitable gap.
- Economic Leading Indicators: The 10% global tariff announcement is functioning as a demand-pull accelerant. Shipper behavior is already shifting toward inventory buffering, which historically sustains elevated freight volumes for 3 to 6 weeks following the triggering event before normalizing. The eDVIR March 23 deadline represents a simultaneous supply-side contraction. The convergence of rising demand and shrinking supply over the next 25 days represents a structurally favorable environment for brokers who are properly positioned.
- Capacity Flow Predictions: Equipment is expected to continue flowing toward the Southeast over the next 7 days, drawn by port freight and produce positioning. The Wyoming wind disruption, which is currently paralyzing I-80 and I-25 transcontinental movement, is likely to ease progressively based on forecast data showing wind speeds declining from the current 70-75 mph event toward 15-23 mph by Saturday and 8-12 mph by Sunday. As that corridor reopens, some flatbed capacity currently parked or rerouted may return to transcontinental lanes, providing modest relief to Midwest and Mountain West markets ā but Southeast demand is likely to remain the dominant pull factor.
š„ Customer Sector Analysis
- Retail: Retailers are accelerating their spring inventory staging and front-loading imports to avoid upcoming tariffs, creating unseasonal spikes in outbound van demand from major coastal distribution hubs.
- Manufacturing: Industrial and manufacturing sectors are driving the massive 110,000+ flatbed load count, with early staging for infrastructure projects absorbing open-deck equipment at a rapid pace.
- Agriculture: Early produce season preparations in Florida and Southern Georgia are beginning to pull reefer equipment south, creating localized capacity shortages for non-agricultural temperature-controlled freight.
- Automotive: Auto parts suppliers are rushing cross-border and domestic shipments to build buffer inventory ahead of potential tariff-related supply chain disruptions, increasing demand for expedited and team transit.
šŗļø Regional & Lane Analysis
š Primary Region Focus: Southeast US
The Southeast is currently the most dynamic and profitable region for freight brokers. A convergence of early produce season preparations, massive flatbed demand for Sunbelt construction, and a sudden surge in import volumes at ports like Savannah and Charleston (driven by tariff front-loading) has created a perfect storm for rate volatility. Capacity is tightening rapidly as equipment is absorbed by these competing sectors, pushing regional average rates well above the national $2.30/mile average.
š£ļø Key Lane Watch
Savannah, GA ā Charlotte, NC:
This lane is experiencing a massive surge in volume as shippers rush to move front-loaded import freight out of the Port of Savannah ahead of new global tariffs. Van and flatbed capacity is being stretched thin, pushing paid rates upward as demand outpaces localized equipment availability.
Atlanta, GA ā Orlando, FL:
This lane is characterized by strong outbound retail and beverage demand heading into Florida, contrasted by carriers eager to position themselves in the state for the lucrative outbound produce season. The capacity environment is balanced but highly sensitive to daily volume fluctuations.
šØ Actionable Alerts
Rate Spike Warnings:
- Outbound Savannah, GA (Van/Flatbed) - Tariff front-loading
- Outbound Miami/Orlando, FL (Reefer) - Produce season onset
- Transcontinental lanes through Wyoming (I-80) - Extreme wind reroutes
Capacity Shortage Alerts:
- Severe flatbed shortages nationwide (110k+ loads available). Reefer capacity is critically tight in the Great Lakes (due to freezing spray/PFF) and the Southeast (produce positioning).
Opportunity Zones:
- Inbound to Florida (Carriers desperate for produce positioning)
- Short-haul port drayage alternatives in the Carolinas and Georgia
šÆ Strategic Recommendations for Today
š¼ For Customer Sales:
Narrative: Lead conversations with the impact of the new 10% global tariffs and the March 23 eDVIR rule. Explain that the massive surge in import front-loading is absorbing regional capacity, and the upcoming regulatory changes will sideline marginal carriers. Position ETA as the stable capacity provider in a tightening market.
Action: Call all customers with import exposure today. Offer guaranteed capacity for port-to-warehouse transloading and secure volume commitments before spot rates climb further.
š For Carrier Reps:
Sourcing Focus: Aggressively source flatbed carriers nationwide, as they are in extreme demand. For vans and reefers, focus on building round-trip dedicated loops in the Southeast to capture port and produce freight.
Negotiation Leverage: Use the extreme weather in the Mountain West (75 mph winds) and Great Lakes to steer carriers toward the booming, weather-clear Southeast market. Offer consistent, high-velocity port freight to carriers willing to commit to daily runs.
š Customer Communication Scripts
Rate Increase Justification For Import-Exposed Shippers
Opening Script: "Good morning ā I want to get ahead of something happening right now in the market that directly affects your freight costs. Today we are looking at over 246,000 loads competing for available capacity nationwide, and the newly announced 10% global tariff has triggered a wave of import front-loading at ports like Savannah and Charleston. That volume surge is hitting the market today, and regional carriers near those ports are already being absorbed. We are seeing paid rates running above posted rates on outbound flatbed and van freight, which tells us carriers have the leverage right now. I want to lock in your coverage before this gets worse."
Value Proposition: By committing capacity now, your customer avoids the daily rate escalation already visible in real-time load board data, and secures reliable coverage during a period when marginal carriers are being pushed off the road ahead of the March 23 eDVIR compliance deadline.
Urgency Creator: Import vessels are arriving daily at Savannah and Charleston. Each arriving vessel adds immediate outbound pressure. Rates on outbound Savannah lanes are trending well above historical February averages and are expected to climb further this week as cargo clears port warehouses.
Objection Handler: If the customer says rates are too high: 'I completely understand the sticker shock ā February is typically softer. But this February is structurally different. The tariff announcement is pulling forward freight that would have moved in March and April. That compressed demand, combined with the eDVIR rule removing marginal equipment from the road by March 23, means the capacity pool is shrinking at the exact moment demand is spiking. The rate you book today is likely the floor, not the ceiling, for this week.'
Capacity Shortage Communication For Reefer-Dependent Customers
Opening Script: "I am reaching out because reefer capacity is entering a critically tight window and I want to protect your lanes before the squeeze gets worse. Nationally, available reefer loads are running at roughly 13,700 ā the tightest reading we have seen recently ā and carriers are being pulled south to position for the early Florida and Georgia produce season. At the same time, the Great Lakes region is under storm force conditions with freezing spray warnings, which is pulling equipment into PFF-required service and off your available pool. The carriers who have options right now are being very selective about which loads they accept."
Value Proposition: Customers who commit volume now can lock in rates before outbound Florida reefer demand fully ignites. Carriers are willing to accept slightly softer inbound-to-Florida rates in exchange for guaranteed outbound produce freight ā a dynamic we can use to negotiate on your behalf today.
Urgency Creator: The Florida produce season is not waiting. Early-season produce volumes are already beginning to pull carriers south. Within the next 7 days, the competition for reefer equipment on Southeast lanes will intensify significantly, and carriers who are already positioned will have no incentive to negotiate.
Objection Handler: If the customer pushes back on reefer pricing: 'The paid rate for reefer is currently averaging $2.47 per mile nationally, and that number is being pushed by structural constraints ā not just seasonal demand. With Great Lakes PFF requirements absorbing equipment in the north and produce positioning pulling equipment south, the reefer market is caught in a vice. Waiting for rates to soften is a high-risk strategy in this environment.'
Flatbed Urgency Call For Construction And Industrial Customers
Opening Script: "I want to flag something critical for your project staging timelines. The flatbed market has essentially gone vertical ā we are looking at over 110,000 loads competing for open-deck equipment nationally, with paid rates already above $2.53 per mile and trending higher. Early spring construction staging and energy sector activity are both hitting simultaneously, and the 70 to 75 mph wind event in Wyoming is physically removing transcontinental flatbed carriers from the road right now, concentrating demand pressure on the Southeast and Midwest markets. If you have infrastructure or industrial freight that needs to move in the next 10 to 14 days, we need to be talking about capacity commitments today."
Value Proposition: Securing flatbed capacity today, before project staging season reaches full acceleration, prevents the scenario where equipment simply is not available at any price during critical installation windows.
Urgency Creator: The Wyoming wind event is a short-term disruption, but the underlying flatbed demand is structural and seasonal. Once those carriers resume transcontinental movement, they will re-enter a market with 110,000+ competing loads. The capacity relief will be minimal and temporary.
Objection Handler: If the customer says they will wait for rates to come down: 'In a normal February, that strategy makes sense. This February, we have three simultaneous demand accelerators ā tariff-driven front-loading, early construction staging, and weather-forced reroutes ā all competing for the same flatbed equipment. The $131.4 million in open-deck market opportunity we are seeing today is not a blip. This is the new baseline for the next 4 to 6 weeks.'
š Executive Signal Summary
- Brokers are in a highādemand, shrinkingāsupply window ā move first, not fast
- National spot intensity: 246,230 total loads, market avg $2.30/mi; diesel $3.757/gal underpinning a firm floor.
- Immediate catalysts: 10% global tariff frontāloading, eDVIR (digital postātrip) March 23 culling marginal capacity, plus WY Iā80/Iā25 wind and Great Lakes PFF (Protect From Freeze).
- Where the leverage sits right now (posted vs paid)
- Flatbed: $2.53 > $2.48 ā carriers have leverage; pay for safety windows, win with calendars and reloads.
- Reefer: $2.47 > $2.45 ā carriers have leverage; preābook 48ā72h; enforce PFF SOPs.
- Van: $2.19 > $2.11 ā leverage shifting to carriers; quote to paid and secure early AM.
- Heavy Haul: $2.55 ā $2.56 ā near parity; margin via permits/timing control.
- Specialized: $2.52 > $2.41 ā sellersā market; buy access with compliance and return plans.
- Goānow plays (24ā72h)
- Southeast port surge: Prioritize Savannah/Charleston dray + shortāhaul TL; preāaward capacity and stage rounders into Charlotte/Richmond/Atlanta.
- Reefer: Lock Southeast ā Midwest/Northeast for food/bev; negotiate softer inbound to FL with guaranteed outbound produce.
- Openādeck: Route transcon via Iā40/Iā10 with documented detour adders; sell Sunbelt shortāhaul flats while WY normalizes (Sat/Sun).
- Great Lakes: Treat all tempāsensitive as PFF through the weekend; add time pads and inland routing.
š National Anchors and Buy/Sell Cues
- Market totals (use for quoting discipline)
- Total loads: 246,230 | Market avg: $2.30/mi | Rate range: $1.58ā$2.56/mi
- Vans: 32,005 loads | Posted $2.11 | Paid $2.19
- Reefers: 13,725 loads | Posted $2.45 | Paid $2.47
- Flatbeds: 110,825 loads | Posted $2.48 | Paid $2.53
- Heavy Haul: 49,545 loads | Posted $2.56 | Paid $2.55
- Specialized: 26,522 loads | Posted $2.41 | Paid $2.52
- LTL/Partial: 13,608 loads | Posted $1.58 | Paid $1.71
- Truckstop realātime: Loads moved today 422,753 | Market opportunity $323.8M
- Buy/Sell signals (treat paid as the floor)
- Buy with structure: Heavy Haul (near parity), Van (tightening but still negotiable with reloads), LTL/Partial (margin via density).
- Sell service at premium: Flatbed, Reefer, Specialized ā monetize safety, compliance, and calendar control.
š¦ 24ā72h Weather and Capacity Playbook
- Wyoming high winds (Iā80/Iā25): severe today ā moderating by Sat; backlog persists into Sun
- Actions:
- Route via Iā40/Iā10; put detour mileage and ETA buffers in the rate confirmation (RC).
- Set wind thresholds on RC for openādeck/highācube vans (no dispatch >45ā50 mph gusts); preāauthorize paid safe parking.
- Expect a westbound surge as the corridor reopens; preāposition trusted flats Fri PM for Sat/Sun pickups.
- Great Lakes freezing spray/PFF through weekend (MI/WI)
- Actions:
- Enforce PFF SOPs: min fuel levels, no idle cutoffs, pulp checks at pickup/receiver, temp readings on BOL.
- Inland routing to avoid lakeāadjacent slowdowns; add 6ā12h pads on WI/MI/IL regional runs.
- Secondary capacity pulse
- Shortāterm flatbed relief in Southern Plains from WY detours; capture TX/OK short hauls with slightly better access ā but rates will carry deadhead premiums.
- Priorities
- Book dray + TL transloads out of Savannah/Charleston/NYāNJ/LAāLB; stage drop trailers and night pulls.
- Preāaward 3ā7 day blocks with midāsize fleets for portāadjacent shippers; trade a small CPM premium for daily turns and appointment priority.
- Sales positioning
- Narrative: āTariffādriven import spikes are consuming local fleets; weāll guarantee coverage with compliant carriers as eDVIR squeezes capacity.ā
- Ask: Secure multiāload commitments and flexible windows; upsell guaranteed recovery if vessel berths slip.
š EquipmentāSpecific Moves (What to quote and how)
- Van (paid $2.19/mi > posted $2.11/mi)
- Actions:
- Quote to paid with +3ā7% SE uplift on portāadjacent lanes; secure AM coverage.
- Engineer rounders: Savannah/Charleston ā Charlotte/Richmond ā reload to ATL/BHM/JAX.
- Guardrails: Add $75ā$150 dwell protection at ports; enforce dropāandāhook preference where possible.
- Reefer (paid $2.47/mi > posted $2.45/mi)
- Actions:
- Preābook 48ā72h SE ā MW/NE for food/bev; negotiate cheaper inbound to FL with guaranteed outbound produce.
- PFF premium for Great Lakes/Midwest: +$0.15ā$0.35/mi for SOP adherence.
- SOPs: Setpoint on RC, continuous temp reqs, checkācall schedule, photo of pulp checks.
- Flatbed (paid $2.53/mi > posted $2.48/mi)
- Actions:
- Sunbelt shortāhaul blitz (materials/steel/energy): pay for securement/tarp time; publish reloads on RC.
- Transcon: Route Iā40/Iā10; add wind/tarp premiums +$0.10ā$0.20/mi; written detour plan.
- Safety: No tarp in >40 mph winds; paid layover authorized for weather.
- Heavy Haul (paid $2.55/mi ā posted $2.56/mi)
- Actions:
- Buy availability with schedule control: lock permits, escorts, curfews now; margin from timing more than CPM.
- Bundle projects to guarantee return legs; carriers concede CPM for certainty.
- Specialized (paid $2.52 > posted $2.41)
- Actions:
- Strict vetting (gear photos/spec sheets/securement plan) to justify rate ā close under the average paid with reload guarantees.
- LTL/Partial (paid $1.71 > posted $1.58)
- Actions:
- Milkārun design (2ā4 stops) in SE/MW; cap dwell, photoāconfirm cube; target $1.75ā$1.90/mi truckāavg.
ā½ Pricing Guardrails, FSC, and Detour Math
- Diesel: $3.757/gal sets a hard floor; enforce fuel surcharge (FSC) integrity on longāhaul and detours.
- Detour economics (Iā40 vs Iā80):
- Typical extra miles +150ā300; at 6.5ā7.0 mpg fuel adds ~$80ā$175; plus driver time/HOS risk ā quote +$200ā$450/trip.
- Premium templates (add to paid baseline)
- PFF: +$0.15ā$0.35/mi (reefer; Great Lakes/MW).
- Wind/tarp/openādeck: +$0.10ā$0.20/mi plus paid securement/layover as needed.
- SE port surge (van/flat): +3ā10% on shortāhaul TL; reduce if shipper offers flexible appts and fast turns.
š¤ Carrier Procurement and Negotiation
- Build microāpools where scarcity bites
- Flatbed MW/Sunbelt: 3ā5 day calendars, wind thresholds in RC, pay securement/tarp, publish reloads at tender.
- Reefer SE: 48ā72h lead, PFF SOPs, guaranteed produce outbound for inbound concessions.
- What moves carriers today
- Certainty beats pennies: written detour adders, paid waiting, nextāload visibility ā carriers concede 5ā10 cpm.
- Safety culture: āNo dispatch >50 mph gustsā wins trucks at lower CPM than āhighest rate, no plan.ā
š” Compliance and Fraud Controls (eDVIR countdown)
- eDVIR (effective Mar 23)
- Audit carrier lists for digital defect reporting readiness; prioritize fleets with modern maintenance workflows.
- ELD check
- Forward Thinking Systems (Field Warrior BYOD) reinstated ā do not disqualify compliant fleets using this ELD.
- CLP team exemption (expedite)
- Slight team relief; still scarce ā reserve for true JIT/highāvalue lanes.
- Fraud hygiene
- No banking changes via email; callback to file. Validate driver ID, VIN/plate, insurance live on every dispatch. Geoāfenced checkācalls and BOL seed codes for highārisk geos.
šŗļø Regional and Lane Targets (sell high, buy smart)
- Southeast (primary profit zone)
- Sell: Savannah ā Charlotte/Raleigh/Greensboro (van/flat); ATL ā FL (van/reefer) ahead of produce.
- Buy: Inbound to FL/GA reefers (with booked outbound produce); inbound vans to ATL/JAX when reload guaranteed.
- MidāAtlantic / Carolinas
- Sell: CLT/RDU ā Northeast distribution (van); pull diverted flats from TX/OK for shortāhaul build materials.
- Great Lakes/Midwest
- Sell: CHI ā DET/MKE with PFF premiums and inland routings; CHI/CMH ā TX/OK flats for energy.
- Transcon
- Sell: Midwest ā SoCal/Phoenix via Iā40 with detour adders; preābook Sat/Sun for postāWY reopening surge.
š§ Ops Runbook (next 8 hours)
- 1) Preāaward SE port capacity: 3ā5 day blocks with 3ā5 core carriers; drop trailer options; publish reloads.
- 2) Reprice transcon quotes: Add Iā40/Iā10 detour surcharges, safety thresholds, and realistic ETAs; get customer signāoff.
- 3) Lock reefer 48ā72h: SE food/bev and Great Lakes PFF lanes; embed temp SOPs on RC and BOL.
- 4) Flatbed calendars: Book D0āD3 Sunbelt shortāhauls and Fri PM pickups for Sat/Sun runs; pay securement time.
- 5) Compliance sweep: Liveāverify authority/insurance, driver docs, ELD make/model; tag eDVIRāready fleets as āPreferred.ā
- 6) Customer advisory: Oneāpager on tariff surge + eDVIR + WY/Great Lakes impacts; request appt flexibility and weekend doors.
š EOD KPIs (success metrics)
- SE port commitments secured: ā„70% of quoted lanes with 3ā5 day coverage blocks
- Reefer preābooks: ā„75% of sensitive loads booked ā„48h out
- Flatbed calendar fill (D0āD3): ā„80% with safety thresholds on RC
- Detour acceptance: ā„70% of transcon customers signed detour adders
- Zero compliance exceptions: 0 dispatches without live authority/ELD verification
š® ProbabilityāWeighted 72h Outlook
- High (75%): Flatbed/Reefer paid > posted persists, premiums expand where weather and tariff surge overlap.
- High (70%): SE remains the demand center; secondary spikes radiate to Charlotte/MidāAtlantic corridors.
- MediumāHigh (65%): WY winds ease by Sat ā Sun, brief capacity pulse consumed by backlog; transcon still favors southern routes into early week.
- Medium (60%): Van tightens further as import surge + eDVIR squeeze; earlyāday buys beat lateāPM by 3ā6%.
š Quick Customer Scripts (concise)
- Import surge rate defense (van/flat): āTariff frontāloading has Savannah/Charleston at capacity today. Paid is already beating posted. Weāll lock vetted trucks now with guaranteed recovery windows so you donāt chase sameāday premiums.ā
- Reefer scarcity (PFF + produce): āReefer paid is firm and carriers are positioning to FL. If we preābook 48ā72h, we can secure PFFācompliant equipment and hold todayās rate before produce fully ignites.ā
- Flatbed urgency (weather + structural demand): ā110,825 flatbed loads and WY winds sidelining transcon. Letās commit this weekās calendar now so your projects arenāt held hostage by weather and backlog.ā
š
This Day in History
1616: Galileo Galilei is formally banned by the Roman Catholic Church from teaching or defending the view that the earth orbits the sun.
1929: President Calvin Coolidge signs legislation establishing the 96,000 acres (390 km2) Grand Teton National Park in Wyoming.
1995: The UK's oldest investment banking institute, Barings Bank, collapses after a rogue securities broker Nick Leeson loses $1.4 billion by speculating on the Singapore International Monetary Exchange using futures contracts.
š Quote of the Day
"People who have goals succeed because they know where they're going. It's that simple."
ā Earl Nightingale