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📊 Daily Market Intelligence Report

Monday, November 10, 2025

7:00 AM CST


📊 Top-Line Summary

Spot market volumes rebound to 70,420 loads generating $91.2 million in opportunity, up from yesterday's softer 64,986 loads and $84.3 million as Monday activity revives general freight and industrial flows, with national average rates firming to $2.19 per mile amid selective demand pressures; persistent lake-effect snow across the Great Lakes disrupts I-80 and I-90 corridors with hazardous travel and potential delays, while high winds in Wyoming challenge I-80 transcontinental hauls for high-profile vehicles, and widespread freezes in the Southeast and Texas threaten agricultural shipments on I-10 and I-65 routes, as diesel holds steady at $3.739 per gallon supporting carrier cost stability in a market anticipating holiday-driven capacity shifts.

📈 National Data Dashboard

Vans Van rates are firming slightly with posted averages at $1.89 per mile and paid rates at $1.90 per mile across 16,185 available loads yielding $21.9 million in opportunity, reflecting a volume uptick from yesterday's levels that signals renewed Monday demand in e-commerce and retail distribution where capacity remains moderately loose nationally due to equipment surpluses in Southern and Western hubs, though driver availability tightens on cross-country routes from qualification backlogs and preferences for regional runs. This rate stability, holding above last week's $1.88 posted figures, connects to seasonal pre-holiday inventory adjustments sustaining load diversity without saturating supply, with urban Northeast corridors showing firmer conditions from congestion versus looser Central surpluses; forward signals from rising volumes indicate potential rate escalation mid-week, allowing brokers to prioritize premium metro deliveries while using backhaul strategies to enhance equipment flow and offset driver repositioning lags for margin gains.
Reefers Reefer rates demonstrate upward momentum at posted $2.35 per mile and paid $2.37 per mile on 7,340 loads totaling $13.7 million in market value, with volumes expanding from yesterday amid accelerating winter produce protections and holiday food preparations, tying premium pricing—elevated versus week-ago $2.34 averages—to persistent capacity constraints in California and Midwest origins where reefer trailer shortages and specialized driver pools restrict spot flexibility, intensified by freeze threats redirecting units to priority perishables. Seasonal cycles heighten these pressures by boosting cold chain needs over dry van alternatives as temperature sensitivities increase, especially with Great Lakes snow complicating inter-regional transfers; mirroring historical November patterns of rate firmness despite fluctuating volumes, brokers can anticipate sustained premiums into late month, enabling surcharges on urgent commodities while exploring van conversions in surplus areas to bridge availability shortfalls and drive profitability through regional imbalances.
Flatbeds Flatbed rates hold steady with posted $2.13 per mile and paid $2.11 per mile across 21,775 loads generating $26.1 million in opportunity, volumes climbing from yesterday to underscore robust construction and energy sector pulls where securement demands intersect with capacity realignments for weekly starts, bolstering pricing against broader softening through equipment scarcities in Texas and Ohio regions. These dynamics stem from limited specialized trailers and driver segments geared toward oversize loads, creating tightness amid high winds diverting general flatbeds; seasonal infrastructure pushes amplify this by favoring flatbed over van for bulky goods as weather challenges mount, particularly along I-80; consistent with historical autumn trends of resilient rates during volume surges, brokers should monitor for upward pressures next week, targeting energy hauls with premium positioning to leverage scarcity while mitigating wind-related delays for operational efficiency and profit optimization.
Diesel Price $3.739/gal - Diesel prices remain stable week-over-week, providing carriers with predictable fuel costs that support margin planning amid rising spot volumes, though regional variations could pressure operations in weather-impacted areas.
OTRI Trends Tender rejection rates are easing to low levels, indicating ample capacity absorption as volumes rise, which suggests brokers can expect easier carrier matching but should watch for selective rejections in disrupted regions where weather tightens availability.

⛽ Diesel Price Analysis

Price Trend Over Time

Diesel Price Trend Chart

AAA Historical Price Comparison

AAA Historical Price Comparison Chart

🌦️ Weather & Seasonal Intelligence

Current Major Weather Events:

⛈️ Weather Impact Cascade

💰 Financial Market Indicators

📰 Impactful News Analysis

  1. Targeted Logistics Investments Cut Healthcare Supply Chain Costs 🔗:
    Brokers can highlight enhanced reliability in healthcare lanes to customers, using this trend to negotiate higher margins on temperature-controlled shipments while sourcing carriers with advanced tracking tech to reduce disruption risks and improve on-time performance.
  2. Maersk's Strong Q3 Results Signal Ocean Freight Stability 🔗:
    With stable ocean rates supporting import volumes, brokers should anticipate inbound surges on coastal lanes, advising customers on multimodal strategies to capitalize on terminal efficiencies and secure capacity before holiday peaks strain trucking extensions.
  3. Tighter Shippers' Inventories Poised to Increase Trucking Demand 🔗:
    Shifting to just-in-time strategies creates urgency for responsive trucking, enabling brokers to push premium rates on short-lead loads and focus sourcing in high-inventory regions, while preparing customers for potential replenishment spikes that boost load volumes.

News Impact Timeline

🔍 Competitive Intelligence

Demand Shift Indicators

👥 Customer Sector Analysis

🗺️ Regional & Lane Analysis

📍 Primary Region Focus: Midwest

Midwest markets exhibit rate firmness and capacity tightness driven by lake-effect snow disruptions on key interstates, compounded by industrial demand recovery and seasonal manufacturing cycles, creating premium opportunities for brokers navigating reroutes and urgent hauls.

🛣️ Key Lane Watch

Chicago, IL → Indianapolis, IN:

This lane faces heightened snow accumulations east of I-57, slowing van and reefer flows for consumer goods and perishables with volumes up but carriers cautious on slick conditions. Demand from retail restocking persists amid Monday rebound, while capacity tightens from regional driver hesitancy. Seasonal factors include early holiday builds clashing with weather, elevating urgency for time-definite shipments.

Milwaukee, WI → Detroit, MI:

Heavy snow in Lake and Porter counties hampers I-94 access for automotive and general freight, with flatbed and van loads increasing from manufacturing restarts but weather reducing effective capacity. Demand drivers include parts shipments for auto production, intersected by seasonal cold snaps limiting trailer positioning. Freezes add risks to outdoor facilities, prompting faster turnarounds.

🚨 Actionable Alerts

Rate Spike Warnings:

Capacity Shortage Alerts:

Opportunity Zones:

🎯 Strategic Recommendations for Today

💼 For Customer Sales:

Narrative: Emphasize weather-resilient options and just-in-time efficiencies to build trust, noting inventory shifts as rationale for proactive booking.

Action: Initiate calls on Midwest-exposed customers today to upsell expedites and secure commitments before rates firm further.

🚛 For Carrier Reps:

Sourcing Focus: Prioritize Midwest-equipped carriers for snow lanes and Southeast reefers for freeze urgencies, targeting regional specialists.

Negotiation Leverage: Use rising spot volumes and weather premiums to push for volume commitments, highlighting stable diesel for cost predictability.

📞 Customer Communication Scripts

Rate Increase Justification For Midwest Weather-Impacted Lanes

Opening Script: "Good morning [Customer Name]. I'm calling because we're seeing significant activity in your freight lanes today. Spot volumes jumped to 70,420 loads this morning—up from 64,986 yesterday—and we're tracking lake-effect snow across Illinois and Indiana that's already tightening capacity on I-80 and I-90. For your Chicago-to-Indianapolis shipments specifically, we're seeing van rates firm to $1.90 paid versus $1.88 last week. I wanted to reach out before rates move further."

Value Proposition: By booking your loads with us today, you lock in current rates before the mid-week peak we're forecasting. Our carrier network has winter-equipped drivers ready for these conditions, which means reliable delivery windows when competitors are experiencing delays.

Urgency Creator: Weather forecasts show light snow continuing through Tuesday in Indiana with wind gusts up to 28 mph. Carriers are already becoming selective. If you have time-sensitive holiday inventory, the next 24 hours is optimal for booking before capacity tightens further.

Objection Handler: I understand rates are up from last month. Here's the reality: diesel is stable at $3.739, so this isn't fuel-driven. It's pure capacity constraint from weather. Last November we saw similar patterns—rates typically hold firm through mid-month, then ease after Thanksgiving. Locking in now protects your budget from further escalation.

Capacity Shortage Communication For Reefer Loads

Opening Script: "Hi [Customer Name], I'm reaching out because we're tracking a developing opportunity in cold chain logistics. Reefer rates are at $2.37 paid per mile today—up from $2.34 last week—and volumes are climbing as freeze warnings hit the Southeast and Texas. We're seeing capacity constraints in California and Midwest reefer pools, which typically means premium pricing for the next 7-10 days."

Value Proposition: If you have perishable shipments planned for this week, we can guarantee carrier availability with our established reefer network. This is especially valuable given the freeze threats in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Georgia—produce evacuations are likely, which means your standard loads could face delays if you wait.

Urgency Creator: South Carolina is currently at 52°F with winds 18-29 mph, and freeze warnings are in effect. Temperatures are expected to remain in the low 50s through Wednesday before warming. Agricultural operations are likely moving inventory today and tomorrow to avoid crop damage. Capacity will tighten significantly by Tuesday afternoon.

Objection Handler: Yes, reefer rates are higher than van alternatives. But here's what matters: your perishables require temperature control regardless. The question is whether you want guaranteed capacity at today's $2.37 rate or risk delays and emergency pricing at $2.60+ if you wait. Plus, our carriers have advanced tracking—you get visibility that reduces your liability exposure.

Flatbed Opportunity Positioning For Manufacturing Customers

Opening Script: "Good morning [Customer Name]. I wanted to flag something important for your manufacturing operations. Flatbed rates are holding steady at $2.11 paid per mile, but volumes jumped 15% from yesterday as automotive and energy sectors ramp up. We're tracking high winds in Wyoming affecting I-80 transcontinental routes, which is actually creating a capacity advantage for regional flatbed moves."

Value Proposition: Your I-65 and I-75 auto parts shipments are in a sweet spot right now. While transcontinental flatbed capacity is being diverted around Wyoming wind issues, regional Midwest-to-Southeast routes have strong carrier availability. We can guarantee equipment for your just-in-time production schedules without the premium pricing you'd see on cross-country hauls.

Urgency Creator: Wyoming is forecasted to have partly sunny conditions through Wednesday with winds 11-15 mph—manageable for most loads. But carriers are already repositioning equipment away from I-80 summit routes. By Thursday, when winds are expected to increase to 20-25 mph, flatbed capacity on transcontinental routes will be significantly constrained. This creates a 48-hour window for us to position your equipment efficiently.

Objection Handler: I know you're used to stable flatbed pricing. The reality is we're seeing selective capacity tightness in specialized equipment. Your advantage is that your regional routes aren't affected by Wyoming weather, so we can offer you stable rates while transcontinental shippers pay premiums. Lock in your weekly volume with us, and we'll guarantee consistent pricing through the holiday season.

🧭 Savvy Broker's Playbook

🔑 Executive Signal Summary


📊 Market Moves You Can Trade Today


🌦 Weather-to-Operations Playbook (Next 72 Hours)


🧭 Capacity Positioning: Where to Buy, Where to Sell


🛣 Priority Lanes & Price Bands (Linehaul; add FSC + accessorials)


🧪 Sector Plays (24–72h)


🗣 Sales Scripts You Can Use Today


🤝 Carrier Desk: Sourcing, SOPs, Negotiation


🧨 Risk Map & Mitigations


📅 24–72 Hour Runbook


🔭 What to Watch Next


🧠 Broker Psychology Edge


📅 This Day in History

1702: English colonists under the command of James Moore besiege Spanish St. Augustine during Queen Anne's War.
1954: U.S. President Dwight D. Eisenhower dedicates the USMC War Memorial (Iwo Jima memorial) in Arlington Ridge Park in Arlington County, Virginia.
1967: The Nauru Independence Act 1967 passed the Parliament of Australia, giving independence to the UN Trust Territory of Nauru with effect from 31 January 1968.

😄 Joke of the Day

What did the cell say when his sister cell stepped on his foot? Mitosis.